Fair Launch Tokenomics: 10B Supply with Conservative Vesting

This scenario models a fair launch token allocation with 10B total supply and a conservative vesting profile. Conservative vesting extends cliff periods and reduces TGE unlocks, prioritizing long-term alignment over early liquidity. The composite risk score for this configuration is Conservative (0/100).

For educational and illustrative purposes only. Not financial or investment advice. Simulated tokenomics parameters do not predict actual token performance.

Scenario Parameters

Template

Fair Launch

Total Supply

10B

Vesting Profile

conservative

Risk Level

Conservative

TGE Circulating

51.7%

Full Unlock

Month 48

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Risk Score Breakdown

Composite score: 0/100 (Conservative)

Insider TGE Unlock (25% weight) 0/100
Short Cliffs (25% weight) 0/100
Inflation Rate (20% weight) 0/100
TGE Circulating Supply (15% weight) 3/100
Allocation Concentration (15% weight) 0/100
Cliff-Drop Events

2

Crossover Month

Month 1

TGE Circulating

51.7%

Circulating at 12mo

66.3%

Insider Control at 12mo

0.0%

Insider Control at 24mo

2.3%

How This Scenario Compares

Scenario Risk Score TGE % Full Unlock Crossover Cliff Drops
Fair Launch 10B conservative 0/100 51.7% Mo 48 Mo 1 2
Standard DeFi 10B conservative 1/100 14.5% Mo 60 Mo 1 0
Community DAO 10B conservative 6/100 10.4% Mo 60 Mo 1 0
Venture-Backed 10B conservative 2/100 14.8% Mo 60 Mo 1 0

Key Concepts for This Scenario

Frequently Asked Questions

What risk level does a Fair Launch template with conservative vesting at 10B supply produce?

The composite risk score is 0/100, rated "Conservative". The highest-scoring factor is TGE Circulating Supply at 3/100 (15% weight), while Allocation Concentration scores lowest at 0/100. This configuration produces 2 cliff-drop events where more than 5% of supply unlocks in a single month.

How much 10B supply circulates at TGE and 12 months with conservative fair launch vesting?

At TGE, 51.7% of supply enters circulation. By month 12, circulating supply reaches 66.3%, with insiders controlling 0.0% of the circulating tokens. The 51.7% TGE float is above the 5-50% sweet spot, contributing 0/100 to the TGE Circulating factor.

When does community ownership exceed insider control in this fair launch scenario?

All tokens fully vest by month 48. Community ownership crosses insider control at month 1. At month 12, insiders still hold 0.0% of circulating supply. The month-1 crossover reflects the fair launch template's heavy community allocation — one of the earliest transitions possible.

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